What You Can Expect from the Spring Housing Market

Dan May • Mar 25, 2022

As the spring housing market kicks off, you likely want to know what you can expect this season when it comes to buying or selling a house. While there are multiple factors causing some uncertainty, including the conflict overseas, rising inflation, and the first rate increase from the Federal Reserve in over three years — the housing market seems to be relatively immune.
Here’s a look at what experts say you can expect this spring.


1. Mortgage Rates Will Climb
Freddie Mac reports the 30-year fixed mortgage rate has increased by more than a full point in the past six months. And despite some mild fluctuation in recent weeks, experts believe rates will continue to edge up over the next 90 days. As Freddie Mac says:
“The Federal Reserve raising short-term rates and signaling further increases means mortgage rates should continue to rise over the course of the year.”


If you’re a first-time buyer or a seller thinking of moving to a home that better fits your needs, realize that waiting will likely mean you’ll pay a higher mortgage rate on your purchase. And that higher rate drives up your monthly payment and can really add up over the life of your loan.


2. Housing Inventory Will Increase
There may be some relief coming for buyers searching for a home to purchase. Realtor.com recently reported that the number of newly listed homes has grown for each of the last two months. Also, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) just announced the months’ supply of inventory increased for the first time in eight months. The inventory of existing homes usually grows every spring, and it seems, based on recent activity, the next 90 days could bring more listings to the market.


If you’re a buyer who has been frustrated with the limited supply of homes available for sale, it looks like you could find some relief this spring. However, be prepared to act quickly if you find the right home.
If you’re a seller, listing now instead of waiting for this additional competition to hit the market makes sense. Your leverage in any negotiation during the sale will be impacted as additional homes come to market.


3. Home Prices Will Rise
Prices are always determined by supply and demand. Though the number of homes entering the market is increasing, buyer demand remains very strong. As realtor.com explains in their most recent Housing Report:
“During the final two weeks of the month, more new sellers entered the market than during the same time last year. . . . However, with 5.8 million new homes missing from the market and millions of millennials at first-time buying ages, housing supply faces a long road to catching up with demand.”


What does that mean for you? With the demand for housing still outpacing supply, home prices will continue to appreciate. Many experts believe the level of appreciation will decelerate from the high double-digit levels we’ve seen over the last two years. That means prices will continue to climb, just at a more moderate pace. Most experts are predicting home prices will not depreciate.


Won’t Increasing Mortgage Rates Cause Home Prices To Fall?
While some people may believe a 1% increase in mortgage rates will impact demand so dramatically that home prices will have to fall, experts say otherwise. Doug Duncan, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist at Fannie Mae, says:
“What I will caution against is making the inference that interest rates have a direct impact on house prices. That is not true.”
Freddie Mac studied the impact that mortgage rates increasing by at least 1% has had on home prices in the past. Here are the results of that study:

As the chart shows, mortgage rates jumped by at least 1% six times in the last thirty years. In each case, home values increased.
So again, if you’re a first-time buyer or a repeat buyer, waiting to buy likely means you’ll pay more for a home later in the year (as compared to its current value).


Bottom Line
There are three things that seem certain going into the spring housing market:
Mortgage rates will continue to rise

  1. The selection of homes available for sale will modestly improve
  2. Home prices will continue to appreciate, just at a slightly slower pace



If you’re thinking of buying, act now before mortgage rates and home prices increase further. If you’re thinking of selling, your best bet may be to sell soon so you can beat the increase in competition that’s about to come to market.

SUPPORT VETS RED DAY 2024

By Dan May • 08 May, 2024
This Red Day, KW will be honoring our Veterans. Your generous donation will help us provide a nutritious meal to 500 deserving men and women. These brave vets have served our country, and now it's our turn to serve them. Any amount of donation can make a big difference. Please use QR code to donate. here Thursday May 9th 11am-1pm Main parking lot at The VA Wilshire Federal Building 11000 Wilshire Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90024

FREE Homeowner Alert Service

By Dan May • 08 May, 2024
An area homeowner contacted me recently requesting advice on which paid service I recommend for identifying potential real estate fraud activity on their Beverlywood area single family residence.. My response was, “NONE! IT’S A SCAM. Your tax dollars enable you receive this important information for FREE.” Here is an explanation of how the service works. Below you will find a link to the website to register. The Los Angeles County Assessor’s e-Notification service gives homeowners the opportunity to register their e-mail to be alerted whenever a foreclosure, transfer of title, or mortgage is recorded on their property with the Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk. This notification allows property owners a means to identify potential real estate fraud activity, such as a fraudulently recorded lien or deed. What is the Property Owner e-Notification Alert? Currently, the Registrar-Recorder will, within 30-days, mail a copy of a Grant Deed, Quit Claim Deed, Deed of Trust, or, within 5-days, mail a copy of a Notice of Default, or Notice of Sale to the property owner upon its recording. Now, homeowners can also opt-in for e-mail notifications. Once a homeowner registers, they will be sent an e-mail of any activity on their property within 48-hours. How does a homeowner enroll in the Property Owner e-Notification? To enroll in Property Owner e-Notification Alert, the homeowner simply creates a profile on the Los Angeles County Assessor’s portal website at https://assessor.lacounty.gov/news-information/ enotification, click on Register Today, fill in the information, check the box for Opt-In for AIN/Recorded Document e-mail notification and click submit. Once they have created an account, log in to the portal and select “Property Owner e-Notification Alerts” on the landing page. Enter the AIN (Assessor Identification Number) on the “Property Owner e-Notification Registration” page and select “Add.” Once added, they will begin to receive electronic notifications when a document is recorded with their linked AIN. A homeowner may repeat this step to register any other LA County properties on their account. There is no limit and there are no fees. Why does the LA County Assessor offer E-Notification? The service allows property owners the opportunity to seek free, legitimate assistance and helps them avoid falling victim to real estate scams. Also, if a property owner suspects erroneous or fraudulent activity, they can report it to the Department of Consumer and Business Affairs at (800) 593-8222 , online at dcba.lacounty.gov , or by e-mail at homehelp@dcba.lacounty.gov . Dan May is among the leading real estate professionals in Los Angeles County. He can be reached at (310)739-8647 and dan@danmayrealestateteam.com Give Dan a call to confidentially discuss your options, your home’s value and/or for a list of local vendors.

Beverlywood HOA and Adjacent Monthly Market Snapshot: May 1, 2024

By Dan May • 01 May, 2024
Market Snapshot: 16 Single Family homes sold within the Beverlywood HOA and Adjacent boundaries (area 9 in the MLS) during the entire month of April 2024 compared to 15 in March and 9 in February. The 16 single family homes that sold in April were on the market for an average of 23 days and sold for an average of $1026.61 per sq. ft. of living space and 97.45% of the OLP (Original List Price). As of May 1st there are currently 22 Single Family homes for sale within the entire Beverlywood HOA and adjacent boundaries, down from 23 the prior month and 27 in February. The 22 single family homes currently For Sale have been on the market for an average of 59 days at a average price of $2,310,272 and $1122.87 per sq. ft. There are currently 15 Single Family homes “under contract” which means in escrow, likely closing soon. I study the market every day. Call Dan May today for local knowledge, flexible commission and proven results at (310)739-8647 .

Beverlywood HOA and Adjacent Monthly Market Snapshot: April 1, 2024

By Dan May • 01 Apr, 2024
Market Snapshot: 15 Single Family homes sold within the Beverlywood HOA and Adjacent boundaries (area 9 in the MLS) during the entire month of March 2024 compared to 9 in February, a 67% increase. The 15 single family homes that sold in March were on the market for an average of 36 days and sold for an average of $950.34 per sq. ft. of living space and 98.81% of the OLP (Original List Price). As of April 1st there are currently 23 Single Family homes for sale within the entire Beverlywood HOA and adjacent boundaries, down from 27 the prior month. The 23 single family homes currently For Sale have been on the market for a median of 39 days at a median price of $1,995,000 and $1024 per sq. ft. There are currently 21 Single Family homes “under contract” which means in escrow, likely closing soon. Analysis: With just 23 homes for sale and 15 sold last month alone, that calculates to less than 2 months supply of homes. Fewer than 6 months supply is considered a SELLER’s market. The unofficial start of the Residential Selling Season is the day after the April 15th Income Tax Deadline, April 16th. Contact area specialist Dan May today for a confidential, no obligation consultation at (310)739-8647 , you will be glad you did!

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