Are Home Prices Headed Toward Bubble Territory?

hello • December 14, 2020

Are Home Prices Headed Toward Bubble Territory?

A little girl is blowing soap bubbles out of a window in a playhouse.
Talk of a housing bubble is beginning to crop up as home prices have appreciated at a rapid pace this year. This is understandable since the appreciation of residential real estate is well above historic annual averages. According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), annual appreciation since 1991 has averaged 3.8%. Here are the latest 2020 appreciation numbers from three reliable sources:
  • FHFA: 7.8%
  • CoreLogic: 7.3%
  • Case-Shiller: 7%
It’s easy to jump to the conclusion that house appreciation is out of control in today’s market. However, we need to put these numbers into context first.

Inflation and the Comeback from the Housing Crash

Following the housing crash, home values depreciated dramatically from 2007-2011. Values are still recovering from that unusually long period of falling prices. We must also realize that normal inflation has had an impact.
Bill McBride, the founder of the well-respected Calculated Risk blog, recently summed it up this way:

        “It has been over fourteen years since the bubble peak. In the Case-Shiller release today, the seasonally adjusted              National Index, was reported as being 22.2% above the previous bubble peak. However, in real terms (adjusted for            inflation), the National index is still about 2% below the bubble peak…As an example, if a house price was                          $200,000 in January 2000, the price would be close to $291,000 today adjusted for inflation.”

The COVID Impact on Home Prices

The pandemic caused many households to reconsider whether their current home still fulfills their lifestyle. Many homeowners now want larger yards that are both separate and private.
Their needs on the inside of the home have changed too. People now want home offices, gyms, and living rooms well-suited for video conferencing. Barbara Ballinger, a freelance writer and the author of several books on real estate, recently wrote:

        “While homeowners continue to want their outdoor spaces that offer a safe retreat, that appeal has shifted into              other parts of the home, coupling comfort with function. In other words, homeowners want amenities for work                and leisure, and they plan to enjoy them long after the pandemic.”

At the same time, concerns about the pandemic have caused many homeowners to put their plans to sell on hold. Realtor.com just released their November Monthly Housing Market Trends Report. It explains:

       “Nationally, the inventory of homes for sale decreased 39.2% over the past year in November…This amounted to                490,000 fewer homes for sale compared to November of last year.”

More people buying and fewer people selling has caused home prices to escalate. However, with a vaccine on the horizon, more homeowners will be putting their houses on the market. This will better balance supply with demand and slow down the rapid appreciation.
That’s why major organizations in the housing industry are calling for much more moderate home appreciation next year. Here are the most recent forecasts for 2021:
  •  National Association of Realtors: 4.5% 
  • Freddie Mac: 2.6% 
  • Fannie Mae: 2.1% 
  • Mortgage Bankers Association: 2%

This Is Nothing Like 2006

Finally, let’s put to rest some of the concerns that today’s scenario is anything like what led up to the last housing crash. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains why this is nothing like 2006:

      “Such a frenzy of activity, reminiscent of 2006, raises questions about a bubble and the potential for a 
       painful crash. The answer: There’s no comparison. Back in 2006, dubious adjustable-rate mortgages taxed many             buyers’ budgets. Some loans didn’t even require income documentation. Today, buyers are taking out 30-year
       fixed- rate mortgages. Fourteen years ago, there were 3.8 million homes listed for sale, and home builders were              putting up about 2 million new units. Now, inventory is only about 1.5 million homes, and home builders are                      underproducing relative to historical averages.”

Bottom Line

Most aspects of life have been anything but normal in 2020. That includes buying and selling real estate. High demand coupled with restricted supply has caused home prices to appreciate above historic levels. With the end of the health crisis in sight, we will see price appreciation return to more normal levels next year.

By Dan May December 12, 2025
Whether you’re a long-time Angeleno or planning your next move, the Westside continues to stand out as one of the most desirable regions in Los Angeles. Anchored by Beverlywood, Castle Heights, Cheviot Hills, and nearby pockets, this area offers a rare combination of convenience, community, and long-term value that today’s buyers are actively seeking. Here’s a closer look at why so many people are rediscovering these neighborhoods. ________________________________________ The Rise of “15-Minute LA” Living More than ever, homeowners want to spend less time in the car and more time actually enjoying where they live. That’s why the idea of a “15-minute neighborhood” has become so attractive — places where daily essentials are just a short drive or walk away. Westside neighborhoods like Beverlywood, Castle Heights, and Cheviot Hills deliver precisely that. What makes these areas so practical for everyday life: Fast access to major corridors like the 10 and 405 freeways, Robertson, Pico, and Venice Blvd. Proximity to job hubs in Culver City’s growing tech and media district, Century City, and West LA. Walkability to essentials, including cafés, markets, parks, and small businesses. Access to well-regarded schools, which remains a key driver for long-term demand and stability. What used to feel like quiet, tucked-away residential pockets now function as some of the most strategically located neighborhoods in the city. ________________________________________ Local Spots That Give the Westside Its Character The Westside isn’t just about convenience — it’s about the lifestyle that comes with it. Residents love the everyday places that help each neighborhood feel like a community, not just a collection of streets. A few favorites that locals talk about: Blueys Market & Café (Pico) – Known for its Australian-style breakfast, fresh pastries, and a relaxed, neighborhood vibe. Palm Grove Social (Carthay Square) – A community café that doubles as a workspace and social hub for remote professionals. Cheviot Hills Recreation Center – Tennis courts, ball fields, walking paths, and open green space make it a go-to spot for families and active lifestyles. Platform LA & Helms Bakery District (Culver City) – Design-forward shops, showrooms, and destination dining that bring a modern edge to the historic Westside. These aren’t just “nice extras” — they’re part of what keeps these communities in demand, even as other parts of the city fluctuate. ________________________________________ The New Westside Buyer Profile Today’s buyers are more intentional and value-driven than they were a few years ago. They’re evaluating neighborhoods not only on price, but on how well the area supports the way they want to live. Common priorities we see from today’s Westside buyers: Move-in ready homes with functional layouts and updated systems. Outdoor living potential, whether that means a yard, patio, or space for entertaining. Energy-efficient upgrades, from newer windows and insulation to solar and EV-ready garages. Proximity to schools, parks, transit, and services, especially for households that want to reduce commute and car time. Westside neighborhoods align well with these priorities, which is why demand has remained strong and competitive—particularly in Beverlywood, Castle Heights, and Cheviot Hills. ________________________________________ Long-Term Value and Market Stability Even when the broader Los Angeles market experiences ups and downs, the Westside has a history of holding its value. These neighborhoods benefit from: Consistently low inventory – There are only so many homes in these pockets, and people tend to stay for a long time. Steady appreciation over time, driven by location, schools, and lifestyle appeal. Deep community roots, with many residents invested in maintaining the character, safety, and livability of their blocks. Homes here are often purchased for the lifestyle — but kept for decades because of the balance they offer between convenience, comfort, and long-term equity. ________________________________________ Why Work with the Dan May Real Estate Team? Buying or selling on the Westside is about more than just price per square foot. It’s about understanding micro-neighborhoods, school boundaries, local traffic patterns, and where buyers are focusing their attention right now. The Dan May Real Estate Team brings: Hyper-local experience in Beverlywood, Castle Heights, Cheviot Hills, and surrounding areas. Strategic pricing and preparation tailored to what Westside buyers are looking for today. Hands-on guidance through every step of the process, from prepping your home to negotiating the best possible terms. ________________________________________ Thinking About Your Next Move on the Westside? Whether you’re considering selling in the next year or just curious about what your home might be worth in the current market, we’re here to help you make informed decisions. Let’s talk about timing, strategy, and what’s possible for you in Beverlywood, Castle Heights, Cheviot Hills, or anywhere on the Westside.
By Dan May December 2, 2025
Whether you're a longtime resident or considering making a move to the Westside, Beverlywood, Castle Heights, and their surrounding neighborhoods offer a vibrant mix of charm, convenience, and community. Here's a closer look at what makes these areas stand out. 🏡 Beverlywood: A Hidden Gem with Timeless Appeal Beverlywood is known for its quiet, tree-lined streets, traditional architecture, and strong sense of community. Local favorites include: • Circle Park: A private green space exclusive to residents — a unique perk that adds to the area’s charm. • Beverlywood Bakery: An institution for over 70 years, serving fresh pastries and Jewish deli classics. • Proximity to Pico-Robertson's vibrant shopping and dining gives Beverlywood walkable appeal, yet it retains a tucked-away feel. 🏙️ Castle Heights: Small-Town Feel with Big City Access Castle Heights blends old LA character with an affordable entry into the Westside market. Why locals love it: • Cheviot Hills Park & Recreation Center: Great for sports, playgrounds, and family events. • Castle Heights Elementary School: Highly regarded and a major draw for families. • Walkability to Metro's Expo Line offers easy commutes to Downtown LA or Santa Monica. 🌆 Nearby Neighborhood Highlights Cheviot Hills : Offers luxury homes, golf course views, and a peaceful vibe just minutes from the city. Crestview & La Cienega Heights: These up-and-coming pockets are gaining popularity for their central location, charming bungalows, and growing dining scene. Faircrest Heights & Reynier Village: Known for their architectural variety and strong community associations, they offer an appealing alternative to more high-profile areas. ________________________________________ Why the Dan May Real Estate Team? With deep roots in these communities, we don’t just sell homes — we help clients find their place in neighborhoods we know and love. Whether you're buying, selling, or just exploring, we’re here with insight, strategy, and local expertise. Thinking of making a move? Let’s talk about what’s possible in Beverlywood, Castle Heights, or anywhere on the Westside. Dan May Dan May Real Estate Team REALTOR®, Broker Associate Mobile: (310) 739-8647 dan@danmayrealestateteam.com LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/dan-may-a161a55/ Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/danmayrealestateteam/ Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/DanMayRealEstate
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